Suicide Deaths Associated with Pregnancy Outcome
A Record Linkage Study of 173,279 Low Income American
Women
David C. Reardon, Philip G. Ney, Fritz J. Scheuren,
Jesse R. Cougle, Priscilla K. Coleman, Thomas W. Strahan
Poster Presentation at the
First World Congress on Women's Mental Health
Berlin, March 27-31, 2001
ABSTRACT
Design: Record linkage study. State funded medical insurance records
identifying all paid claims for abortion or delivery in 1989 were linked
to the state death certificate registry.
Subjects: A population of 173,279 low income women eligible for
state-funded medical insurance in California, United States, who had either
an induced abortion or delivery in 1989.
Results: Aborting women who had no known live births were significantly
more likely to die than women with no known history of abortion, and women
with a history of both abortion and childbirth. The relative risk was highest
when comparing low income women with only one known pregnancy outcome.
Compared to women who delivered, those who aborted had a significantly
higher age adjusted risk of dying from all causes (1.62), from suicide
(2.54), and accidents (1.82), as well as a higher risk of dying from nonviolent
causes (1.44). Higher suicide rates were most pronounced in the first four
years. Notably, the average annual suicide rates per 100,000 in our sample,
3.0 for delivering women and 7.8 for aborting women, bracketed the national
average suicide rate of 5.2 for women ages 15-44. The higher death rates
were significant across an eight year period and over four of the six
age groups examined.
Conclusions: The pattern of death rates associated with prior
pregnancy outcomes among low income women of California are similar to
the pattern previously observed among the general population of women in
Finland. Moreover, the apparent beneficial effects of childbirth and/or
the detrimental effects of pregnancy loss persist over many years. Abortion
experience may operate as a causal factor in suicide, risk-taking, or unhealthy
behaviors or it may be a marker for other stress factors that increase
the likelihood of death. The results are discussed in context of related
literature.
BACKGROUND
-
To overcome the difficulties involved when using an a priori definition
of "pregnancy related" deaths, researchers at Stakes, the National Research
and Development Centre for Welfare and Health, in Finland undertook two
important record linkage studies.1,2 They identified all death
certificates from 1987-1994 for all women ages 15-49 and linked them to
Finland's centralized Birth, Abortion, and Hospital Discharge Registers
and examined death rates relative to all pregnancy events among these women
in the year prior to their deaths.
-
The Stakes studies revealed remarkable variations in death rates. Women
who had given birth had half the death rate of women who had not been pregnant
in the year before their deaths. By contrast, women who had an induced
abortion were 76% more likely to die than women who had not been pregnant,
102% more likely to die than women who miscarried, and 252% more likely
to die than women who had carried to term. Compared to women who delivered,
the age adjusted odds ratio of dying in the year following an induced abortion
was 1.6 for death from nonviolent causes, 4.2 for death from injuries related
to accidents, 6.5 for deaths resulting from suicide, and 14.0 for deaths
resulting from homicide.
-
If the findings reported by Stakes identify a true association between
mortality rates and prior pregnancy outcomes, one would expect them to
be replicable elsewhere. In addition, the Stakes findings raise the question
of how long the effects of prior pregnancy outcomes on mortality rates
may persist. The goals of our study were to investigate whether the Stakes
findings would be observed in an homogenous socioeconomic population and
to examine any associations between pregnancy history and subsequent mortality
over a longer period of time.
METHODS
-
The California Department of Health Services (DHS) identified 249,625 women
who had received funding for either an abortion or delivery in calendar
year 1989 under the state-funded medical insurance program known as Medi-Cal.
Of this population, 194,694 were citizens whose beneficiary identification
codes could be record linked to valid social security numbers. All "short
paid claim" records for these women were obtained for six fiscal years
beginning in July 1988 and extending through June 1994.
-
The patient identifier codes were also linked by DHS to California death
certificates between 1989 and 1998, resulting in the identification of
1713 deaths.
-
Data integrity was carefully examined. Both our own linkages and those
done by DHS were checked by us to assure that a high quality match had
been carried out. The confirmatory variables available on both the Medi-Cal
and death certificate files employed in this checking included the woman's
date of birth, gender, date of pregnancy event, and the cost of medical
treatment.
-
Screening for aberrant, indeterminate, and out-of-scope data resulted in
the elimination of 21,415 cases, and 419 deaths for the following reasons
(1) unlinkable social security numbers, (2) the age recorded for an individual
woman in the medical records and/or the death certificates could not be
reasonably verified by reference to multiple records, (3) the abortion
was identified as illegal or unknown (ICD-9 codes 636 and 637), (4) reported
age below 13 or above 49 at the time of their first pregnancy event, (5)
first delivery or induced abortion occurred after 1990, (6) the costs associated
with the target pregnancy event was below $100 (suggesting only counseling
for a possible procedure was received), or (7) when the first recorded
pregnancy event was a miscarriage.
-
All data handling steps were blind to the pregnancy outcome. Age-adjusted
relative risks and 95% confidence intervals were calculated by means of
a logistic regression using age as a covariate.
RESULTS
Table 1: Overall cause specific risk of death in 8 subsequent years
for women whose first pregnancy event was an abortion or a delivery (and
no subsequent abortions).
|
All Cases |
|
Controlling for at Least One
Year Prior Psychiatric History |
| Cause of death |
Number of deaths
[Rate per 100,000]
|
Age-adjusted relative risk
(95% CI) |
Number of deaths
[Rate per 100,000] |
Age-adjusted relative risk
(95% CI) |
| First preg delivery
(n=83,690) |
First preg abort
(n=50,260) |
Delivery of first preg and no abortions
(n=41,956) |
Abortion of first preg
(n=17,472) |
| All deaths |
490 [585.5] |
366 [728.2] |
1.30 (1.13 to 1.49) |
213 [507.7] |
141 [807.0] |
1.61 (1.30 to 1.99) |
| Violent causes |
207 [247.3] |
179 [356.1] |
1.43 (1.17 to 1.74) |
82 [195.4] |
63 [360.6] |
1.78 (1.28 to 2.47) |
| Nonviolent causes |
281 [335.8] |
183 [364.1] |
1.17 (0.97 to 1.12) |
130 [309.8] |
76 [435.0] |
1.44 (1.08 to 1.91)* |
* p<.013, p<.001, p=.094
-
Analysis of birth only and abortion only women with a single known pregnancy
event.
For our second analysis, we limited our comparison to the two most
disparate groups, the births only and the abortions only women. To further
control for the confounding factor of multiple pregnancy outcomes, this
analysis included women with only one known pregnancy event. The mean age
for women who delivered was 26.39 (SD=5.85) and 25.96 (SD=6.26) for women
who aborted.
As shown in Table 2, stratification by two-year increments revealed
significant differences in the death rates during the first two years for
overall deaths, deaths due to nonviolent causes, and deaths due to violent
causes. Other significant differences were found in all but the fifth and
sixth years.
Table 2: Risk of specific causes of death in 8 subsequent years
(in 2 year increments) for women with only one known pregnancy, those with
an abortion compared to those with a delivery.
|
|
All Cases |
|
Controlling for 1 Year Prior
Psychiatric History |
| Cause of death |
Time interval
( years)
|
Number of deaths
[rate per 100,000] |
Age-adjusted relative risk
(95% CI) |
|
Number of deaths
[rate per 100,000] |
Age & Psych History adjusted
relative risk
(95% CI) |
| One delivery only |
One abortion only
|
|
Delivery of first preg and no abortions |
Abortion of first preg |
| Overall deaths |
1-2 |
97 [178.0] |
61 [343.7] |
1.95 (1.42 to 2.69) |
|
47 [112.0] |
40 [228.9] |
2.03 (1.33 to 3.10) |
| 3-4 |
84 [154.1] |
42 [236.6] |
1.56 (1.07 to 2.25) * |
|
40 [95.3] |
33 [188.9] |
1.98 (1.25 to 3.15) |
| 5-6 |
76 [139.5] |
29 [163.4] |
1.19 (0.78 to 1.83) |
|
63 [150.2] |
35 [200.3] |
1.35 (0.89 to 2.05) |
| 7-8 |
78 [143.1] |
41 [231.0] |
1.64 (1.12 to 2.39) |
|
63 [150.2] |
33 [188.9] |
1.29 (0.84 to 1.96) |
| Violent causes |
1-2 |
52 [95.4] |
37 [208.5] |
2.12 (1.39 to 3.23) |
|
19 [45.3] |
23 [131.6] |
2.62 (1.42 to 4.82) |
| 3-4 |
32 [58.7] |
23 [129.6] |
2.18 (1.28 to 3.73) |
|
14 [33.4] |
18 [103.0] |
3.00 (1.49 to 6.04) |
| 5-6 |
28 [51.4] |
7 [39.4] |
0.77 (0.34 to 1.76) |
|
27 [64.4] |
13 [74.4] |
1.15 (0.59 to 2.24) |
| 7-8 |
15 [27.5] |
9 [50.7] |
1.85 (0.81 to 4.23) |
|
22 [52.4] |
9 [51.5] |
0.98 (0.45 to 2.13) |
| Non-violent causes |
1-2 |
45[82.6] |
24 [135.2] |
1.66 (1.01 to 2.72) * |
|
28 [66.7] |
17 [97.3] |
1.49 (0.81 to 2.73) |
| 3-4 |
51 [93.6] |
18 [101.4] |
1.10 (0.64 to 1.88) |
|
26 [62.0] |
15 [85.9] |
1.40 (0.74 to 2.66) |
| 5-6 |
47 [86.2] |
22 [123.9] |
1.46 (0.88 to 2.42) |
|
35 [83.4] |
22 [125.9] |
1.54 (0.90 to 2.63) |
| 7-8 |
63 [115.6] |
31 [174.6] |
1.53 (0.99 to 2.35) |
|
41 [97.7] |
22 [125.9] |
1.33 (0.79 to 2.23) |
*p<.05, p<.01, p<.005, p<.0001
-
As seen in Table 3, during the eight year period following the first pregnancy
event, women who aborted had 62 percent more likely to die from all causes
than women who carried to term. They were also significantly more likely
to die from nonviolent causes, suicide, and accidents.
Table 3: Risk of death by specific causes in 8 subsequent years for
women with only one known pregnancy, those with an abortion compared to
those with a delivery.
|
All Cases |
|
Controlling for 1 Year Prior
Psychiatric History |
| Cause
of
death |
Number of deaths
[rate per 100,000] |
Age-adjusted relative risk
(95% CI) |
|
Number of deaths
[rate per 100,000] |
Age & Psych History adjusted
relative risk
(95% CI) |
| One delivery only |
One abortion only |
Delivery of first preg and no abortions |
Abortion of first preg |
| All causes |
335 [614.7] |
173 [974.6] |
1.62 (1.34 to 1.94) |
|
213 [507.7] |
141 [807.0] |
1.61 (1.30 to 1.99) |
| Violent causes |
127 [233.0] |
76 [428.2] |
1.81 (1.36 to 2.41) |
|
82 [195.4] |
63 [360.6] |
1.78 (1.28 to 2.47) |
| Suicide |
13 [23.9] |
11 [62.0] |
2.54 (1.14 to 5.67)* |
|
8 [19.1] |
11 [63.0] |
3.12 (1.25 to 7.78)* |
| Homicide |
50 [91.7] |
27 [152.1] |
1.59 (1.00 to 2.55) |
|
28 [66.7] |
24 [137.4] |
1.93 (1.11 to 3.33)* |
| Accident or undetermined |
64 [117.4] |
38 [214.1] |
1.82 (1.22 to 2.73) |
|
46 [109.6] |
28 [160.3] |
1.44 (0.90 to 2.30) |
| Nonviolent causes |
206 [378.0] |
95 [535.2] |
1.44 (1.13 to 1.84) |
|
130 [309.8] |
76 [435.0] |
1.44 (1.08 to 1.91)* |
| Aids |
20 [36.7] |
14 [78.9] |
2.18 (1.10 to 4.31)* |
|
10 [23.8] |
12 [68.7] |
2.96 (1.28 to 6.87)* |
| Mental disease |
11 [21.6] |
7 [43.9] |
2.05 (0.79 to 5.28)
|
|
6 [14.3]
|
8 [45.8]
|
3.21 (1.11 to 9.27)*
|
| Circulatory disease |
28 [51.4] |
26 [146.5] |
2.87 (1.68 to 4.89) |
|
18 [42.9] |
15 [85.9] |
2.00 (1.00 to 3.99)* |
| Cerebrovascular disease |
4 [7.3] |
7 [39.4] |
5.46 (1.60 to 18.65) |
|
3 [7.2] |
5 [28.6] |
4.42 (1.06 to 18.48)* |
| Other heart diseases |
12 [22.0] |
10 [56.3] |
2.59 (1.12 to 5.99)* |
|
8 [19.1] |
7 [40.1] |
2.10 (0.76 to 5.82) |
*p<.05, p<.01, p<.005, p<.0001
-
Stratification by age is shown in Table 4. Differences were significant
for four of the six age groups. As would be expected, the risk of death
from nonviolent causes increased with age while the risk of death from
violent causes generally declined.
Table 4: Risk of specific causes of death in 8 subsequent years for
women with only one known pregnancy, those with an abortion compared to
those with a delivery, based on age at the time of the first pregnancy
event.
|
All Cases |
|
Controlling for 1 Year Prior
Psychiatric History |
| Cause of death |
Age at first known pregnancy |
Number of deaths
[rate per 100,000] |
Age-adjusted relative risk
(95% CI) |
|
Number of deaths
[rate per 100,000] |
Age & Psych adjusted relative
risk
(95% CI) |
| One delivery only |
One abortion only |
Delivery of first preg and no abortions |
Abortion of first preg |
| Overall deaths |
13-19 |
37 [636.9] |
22 [866.5] |
1.38 (0.81 to 2.35) |
|
32 [494.3] |
24 [703.0] |
1.45 (0.85 to 2.48) |
| 20-24 |
60 [346.1] |
40 [692.9] |
1.99 (1.33 to 2.98) |
|
53 [379.0] |
35 [605.4] |
1.60 (1.04 to 2.45)* |
| 25-29 |
94 [590.2] |
40 [844.8] |
1.44 (1.00 to 2.09) |
|
48 [419.3] |
31 [688.9] |
1.63 (1.03 to 2.56)* |
| 30-34 |
80 [816.2] |
38 [1389.4] |
1.71 (1.16 to 2.52) |
|
44 [663.1] |
28 [1155.6] |
1.73 (1.07 to 2.79)* |
| 35-39 |
46 [1050.5] |
29 [2032.2] |
1.93 (1.21 to 3.09) |
|
26 [944.1] |
19 [1814.7] |
1.77 (0.97 to 3.26) |
| 40-49 |
18 [1444.6] |
4 [739.4] |
0.49 (0.17 to 1.45) |
|
10 [1515.2] |
4 [1302.9] |
0.75 (0.23 to 2.47) |
| Violent causes |
13-19 |
26 [447.6] |
15 [590.8] |
1.35 (0.71 to 2.55) |
|
22 [339.8] |
15 [439.4] |
1.31 (0.68 to 2.55) |
| 20-24 |
31 [178.8] |
29 [502.3] |
2.79 (1.68 to 4.64) |
|
29 [207.4] |
26 [449.7] |
2.17 (1.28 to 3.69) |
| 25-29 |
39 [244.9] |
12 [253.4] |
1.04 (0.54 to 1.98) |
|
17 [148.5] |
11 [244.4] |
1.67 (0.78 to 3.57) |
| 30-34 |
23 [234.6] |
14 [511.9] |
2.19 (1.13 to 4.26)* |
|
9 [135.6] |
7 [288.9] |
2.15 (0.80 to 5.80) |
| 35-39 |
7 [159.9] |
6 [420.5] |
2.61 (0.88 to 7.79) |
|
4 [145.2] |
3 [286.5] |
1.39 (0.27 to 7.07) |
| 40-49 |
1 [80.3] |
0 [00.0] |
-- |
|
1 [151.5] |
1 [325.7] |
1.82 (0.11 to 31.04) |
| Non-violent causes |
13-19 |
11 [189.4] |
7 [275.7] |
1.46 (0.56 to 3.80) |
|
10 [154.5] |
8 [234.3] |
1.56 (0.61 to 3.99) |
| 20-24 |
29 [167.3] |
11 [190.5] |
1.13 (0.57 to 2.27) |
|
24 [171.6] |
9 [155.7] |
0.90 (0.42 to 1.95) |
| 25-29 |
54 [339.0] |
27 [570.2] |
1.70 (1.07 to 2.70)* |
|
30 [262.1] |
20 [444.4] |
1.66 (0.94 to 2.93) |
| 30-34 |
56 [571.3] |
24 [877.5] |
1.54 (0.95 to 2.48) |
|
35 [527.5] |
21 [866.7] |
1.62 (0.94 to 2.80) |
| 35-39 |
39 [890.6] |
22 [1541.7] |
1.72 (1.02 to 2.92)* |
|
22 [798.8] |
15 [1,432.7] |
1.74 (0.89 to 3.38) |
| 40-49 |
17 [1364.4] |
4 [739.4] |
0.52 (0.17 to 1.55) |
|
9 [1,363.6] |
3 [977.2] |
0.66 (0.18 to 2.48) |
*p<.05, p<.01, p<.005, p<.0001
-
Analysis controlling for prior psychiatric claims.
Our fourth analysis used a sample of women who had their first pregnancy
events between July 1 and December 31 of 1989. By limiting the analysis
to these six months, we were able to examine any inpatient and outpatient
psychiatric claims women had one year prior to the target pregnancy events.
The resulting sample consisted of 17,472 women (age: M=24.91, SD=6.0) whose
first pregnancy events were abortions and 41,956 women (age: M=25.48, SD=5.8)
who had deliveries as their first pregnancy events and no history of abortion.
Among these women, number of prior psychiatric claims was significantly
correlated with overall deaths (r(59428)=.020, p<.0001), deaths by violent
causes (r(59428)=.009, p<.023), and deaths by non-violent causes (r(59428)=.018,
p<.0001).
Logistic regression analyses were carried out using number of psychiatric
claims within one year prior to the target pregnancy event and age as covariates.
The results of these analyses are given in Tables 1 - 4. In several circumstances,
most notably deaths related to mental illness, the relative risk of death
for aborting women compared to delivering women increased after removing
the effect of prior psychiatric history.
Among women who had psychiatric claims during the year prior to their
first pregnancy event, 846 were aborting and 1,140 were non-aborting. Of
the 19 women who died by suicide, 11 had aborted the target pregnancy event
and 8 carried to term. Two women (one aborting and one non-aborting) from
the analysis had prior psychiatric claims and death by suicide.
INTERPRETATION
-
Our findings were consistent with the pattern identified in Finland.
-
The key finding of this study is that the differential in death rates between
women who had abortions and those who gave birth was observed throughout
the eight years examined. This indicates that the factors underlying this
discrepancy are persistent ones. For example, low income women who have
children may be more likely to avoid risk-taking and to take better care
of their health. In addition, a history of abortion may be a marker for
other stress factors that decrease longevity in this low income population.
-
Higher deaths rates following abortion may stem from increased psychological
stresses related to unresolved guilt, grief, or depression. In another
analysis of this same population, we found that women who had abortions
had significantly higher rates of psychiatric admission over a four year
period across all age groups.5 The overall adjusted relative
risk of psychiatric hospitalization for aborting versus delivering women,
controlling for age, months eligibility, psychiatric history, and obstetric
history, declined steadily from the high of 4.26 at 90 days post-pregnancy
event to 1.67 in the fourth year. The highest relative risks were related
to adjustment reactions, bipolar disorder, and depressive psychoses.
-
Prior psychiatric history does not appear to explain the observed effects.
Controlling for the number of psychiatric treatments prior to the pregnancy
revealed that significant differences in the death rates could not be explained
by this variable. In some cases, as in the case of suicide, the relative
risk of death actually increased when controlling for prior psychiatric
history.
-
The findings of this study are consistent with a large body of literature
linking abortion to an increased risk of unhealthy behaviors. For example,
there is a substantial body of literature demonstrating an association
between abortion and suicide.6-12 Pregnancy and childbirth,
on the other hand, reduce the risk of suicide.14-16
-
An important record based measure of suicide attempts before and after
abortion has shown that the increase in subsequent suicide attempts among
aborting women is not predicted by prior suicidal attempts. The authors
concluded that the several fold increase in suicide attempts among aborting
women is most likely related to adverse reactions to the abortion.13
-
The greater risk of fatal accidents and homicides may result from unrecognized
suicides or increased risk-taking behavior.6, 10, 17 Deaths
from accidents may also be related to higher rates of alcohol consumption18-22
or drug abuse21-28 among aborting women. Several studies have
controlled for prior substance abuse and found a significant connection
between abortion and subsequent substance abuse.9, 28, 29 Other
record based studies have also found an increased number of treatments
for accidental injury among women with a history of abortion.30,31
The higher risk of death from homicide may reflect increased levels of
anger, self-destructive behavior, and domestic violence following abortion.32-38
-
The heightened risk of death from nonviolent causes may reflect a decline
in general health following abortion as reported elsewhere.39-41
Unresolved grief following an abortion may lead to an increase in anxiety,
sleeping disorders, eating disorders, and promiscuity.9, 29, 42
Other unhealthy behaviors linked to abortion are increased alcohol consumption,18-22
drug abuse,21-28 and smoking.21, 22, 43-52
-
Research linking depression, anxiety, and other psychological conditions
with cardiovascular diseases 53-57 may explain the strong association
between abortion and deaths related to circulatory and cerebrovascular
disease.
-
The persistence of higher death rates over a long period of time may be
explained by the observation that negative psychological reactions to abortion
may be long lasting or delayed.6,9,17, 40,58
-
Unfortunately, as in the case of the Finland study of pregnancy associated
deaths,1 our data did not include any information on race, marital
status, or parity. This additional data is difficult or impossible to obtain
in American record based studies due to privacy safeguards and the lack
of reliable methods for linking central registries.
-
Our data did have the benefit, however, of representing a homogenous socioeconomic
population. The fact that it includes only low income women, who would
generally face similar stressful life events, would tend to help control
for many confounding factors. However, the limitation of these data to
low income women precludes generalization to all socioeconomic classes
of American women.
-
Comparison of these results to national data underscores the importance
of additional research. For example, the 1997 suicide rate per 100,000
American women ages 15-24 was 3.5 for all races, 3.7 for whites and 2.4
for blacks. For ages 25-44, the suicide rate was 6.0 for all races, 6.6
for whites and under 3.7 for blacks.4 In our sample (Table 2)
the average annual suicide rate for low income women with a history of
delivery was only 3.0 while it was 7.8 for low income women with a history
of abortion, bracketing the national averages regardless of race. This
suggests that the protective effect related of childbirth and/or the detrimental
effect related to abortion observed in this study would be unlikely to
disappear with controls for race.
-
This is the second large record based study demonstrating higher death
rates among women with a history of abortion. It does not appear that prior
psychiatric state can explain the observed effect. It is known that even
after controlling for prior psychiatric condition, aborting women score
higher on depression scales (an average of eight years after their abortions)
compared to women who carried unintended pregnancies to term.
-
Additional research examining the effects of prior pregnancy outcome on
women's mental health and mortality rates is warranted.
Funding: Elliot Institute
Conflict of interests: None
Contact Information
David C. Reardon, Ph.D.
Elliot Institute
PO Box 7348
Springfield, IL 62791 USA
(217) 525-8202
You can download a copy of this poster presentation by title and
author at
http://clinmed.netprints.org/
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PK, Ney PG. Psychiatric admissions following abortion and childbirth: a
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6. Angelo JE. Psychiatric sequelae of abortion: the many
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